Major Banks to ignore RBA, says Loan Market Group

Loan Market GroupMajor banks are likely to increase their variable home mortgage rates regardless of any movement in official rates by the Reserve Bank of Australia, according to a leading mortgage broker.

Loan Market Group Executive Director John Kolenda said despite the RBA leaving the cash rate on hold at 3.0 per cent for the past three months, major lenders were considering a lift in their rates independent of any RBA decision.

Mr Kolenda said the Commonwealth Bank of Australia had already broken ranks recently by raising its variable rate by 0.10 per cent due to increased funding costs.

“While predictions remain of a further easing in the cash rate by the RBA due to rising unemployment, there is evidence the major banks will no longer be moving in line with these changes and a strong likelihood banks will not pass on part or all of any future RBA rate cuts,” he said.

“They are considering lifting their rates against the trend and out of cycle because they claim their cost of funds is increasing and they are not only paying more for wholesale rates but paying more on deposits, which is another key area of their funding.

“This is a new phenomenon which will be of concern to mortgage holders.”

Mr Kolenda said the prospect of banks increasing their variable rates out of cycle could result in more home owners considering a fixed rate mortgage despite fixed rates rising by more than one per cent in the past few months.

“Although you might have missed the bottom of the fixed rate cycle, leaving a decision on locking in a fixed rate for much longer could be even more costly to home owners,” he said.

Mr Kolenda said so far there had not been a great deal of demand to switch to fixed rates, indicating the majority of home owners believed they would be better off sticking to variable rates while the economy remained in decline.

“Even though the fixed rates are higher now with the major banks offering 6.39 per cent to 6.59 per cent over three years, there’s a strong possibility variable rates could rise above that over the next three to five years,” he said.

Mr Kolenda said people considering a fixed rate, particularly if they required some certainty around repayments, should bear in mind lenders often have special offers on fixed rate products that help to reduce the overall interest rate and loan costs.

“I have seen evidence of many customers getting great discounts off both standard fixed and variable rates which can ultimately save thousands of dollars,” he said.

“By talking to your mortgage broker you can identify the best fixed and variable rates and get the broker to negotiate even better pricing than advertised.”

4 Comments

Sick and tied of all the negatives July 14, 2009

I think Mr Kolenda is doing the Banks job for them, spreading scare mongering comments. “Yes” the banks will increase their variable rate, but why would anyone in the right mind fix at 6.39%? History tells us, that the variable rate is a better option over the period of the loan.

I would like to know where Mr Kolenda received his information from?
Lets tell everyone, the world is really flat? Do you think they would believe? “Yes” fixed rates are good for the aggregators book, but not for the customer.

The landscape has changed, this is where the Government should be steping in and giving the Banks a wack, but they are Governed by the Banks. The Government are intimidated by the Banks.

BBB July 14, 2009

All we need to realise is thew banks are PUBLIC companies , they are driven by shareholders return and thus share price results , I have no doubt that the signals are they still have some “toxic” write offs to go (particulary the NAB after APRA have been in discussions with them) .
Tha capital raisings of the last few months are a clear indication they needed to strengthen their balance sheets, and it will be profit and a desire to maitain a position on market share while still making the desired margins to achieve profit, and not what the RBA or The federal goverment says that will set their rates.
What can we as brokers do - DEAL WITH THE ALTERNATIVES AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE, do not be lazy, give your deals when you can to the non bank & regional sectors that will bring back the market to where it should be . we as brokers have enomorous market power use it fellow brokers or lose your clients ever so slowly to the big 4.

insider July 14, 2009

Ladies and Gentlemen , the Banks want your Business.

I have heard it from the highest level.

I am sorry ,but Mortgage Brokers will either do their job for love,or go the way of the “dodo”

Just sit and wait what this financial year presents to you.

Don”t use the big 4,and maybe,just maybe you can survive.

A July 15, 2009

If banks want our business Insider, why then are they making it sooooo hard?????????

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