Nearly quarter of households suffering mortgage stress

More than 1.3 million households are suffering mortgage stress despite low interest rates, a new survey has found.

Independent market analyst Datamonitor found that almost a quarter of mortgage holders are experiencing mortgage stress, with first home buyers who bought in the past 12 months especially vulnerable.

Thirty per cent of these new buyers said they were facing mortgage stress, while 21 per cent expect they will have difficultly paying back their home loan over the next five years.

“These findings have important implications for the Reserve Bank’s attempts to stimulate the economy by lowering the cash rate,” Datamonitor senior analyst Petter Ingemarsson said.

“Economic contraction and consumer concerns risk fuelling a vicious cycle.”

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) left the cash rate unchanged last week after its monthly board meeting, but had previously reduced the rate by 4.25 per cent since September last year.

Mr Ingemarsson said official interest rate cuts to stimulate spending may have become less effective because the major banks have not passed rate cuts on to borrowers in full.

Borrowers may also be hesitant to spend the money freed up by lower rates.

The most common reaction from pressured home loan borrowers has been to cut back on spending, with 39 per cent saying they had cut back on luxury items in order to be able to afford their mortgage.

However, concerns over the economy are not just isolated to home loan borrowers with 29 per cent of all consumers saying they will have difficulty paying their bills over the next 12 months.

“There are also some concerns that cautious consumers may hoard government stimuli payments,” Mr Ingemarsson said.

“There is the risk that consumer concerns will result in a negative spiral, as lower consumer spending leads to lower business spending and higher unemployment, which in turn leads to an even more cautious consumer mindset.”

Eighty-six per cent of consumers deemed it likely that Australian unemployment would rise over the next 12 months.

AAP

4 Comments

pLuCk@ May 11, 2009

Yes…. All our goverment can do is encourage more to borrow and spend on BIG ticketed items people couldnt really afford before, by enticing them to buy a HOME by increasing the grant, giving out cash splash to only be penalised later on through tax increases, benefit cuts… Lets go back to our traditional values, if you cant save your own deposit then you shouldnt be buying… Yes rates are record lows, therefore it is the most dangerous time to borrow as servicing is more generous at these time and when rates starts to rise again… whoop di doo… MORE stress… Labor = BANDAID = Temporary,

OK is it believable ? May 11, 2009

The LMI’s who are at the coal face are not reporting this and the arrers reporting does not reflect this ????

Jase May 11, 2009

Pluck,it is a vicious cycle of spend and spend some more and yes the pigeons will come home to roost.(pity the poor bastard who has to clean up the new mess) I believe the government has got it wrong with the stimulus package.There are many Australian households who can’t refinance to a cheaper rate or get consolidation loans.Those struggling the most are the low to middle income earners and business owners who are trying to keep their staff,expand their business or invest in their business, ect ect. These guys can’t refinance because a)no one will refinance lo doc and b)in order to go full doc you need to show best figures and when you do this the govt gets you for all you’re worth. Why? The current govt doesn’t want Lo doc loans so people who want to refinance must have 2yrs tax returns so they can collect the taxes & 2nd LMI has restricted policy that precludes many households from doing so. Cost of living HAS GONE UP despite the advertising that we are supposed better off. The govt had a chance to save us or at least soften the impact from what now lies ahead. I believe had the Dudd govt set up a mortgage insurance scheme for lenders outside the big 5, competition would increase amongst lenders, people could refinance and plough the savings back into their loans, home values could be sustained, households could afford to do things like take a holiday? Spend money to buy new clothes or take the family out to dinner. Small business owners could restructure so they could grow and people could feel secure knowing that at least they can survive. The bonus for the Govt is that they would have a new revenue stream and would collect more in duties from the refinancing of property. The fees collected vs exposure and cost i believe would favour the govt 2:1. Think about this. One LMI insurer stated that they write approx 5000 policies each week. Lets assume an average of premium collected is $5500. That’s $27,500,000 in premiums collected each week! Even with a operational cost of 35% of net income and exposure provisions of $100mil in the kitty at any given time. One could safely assume there wouldn’t be many claims in the first 12 months, giving the govt time to build the war chest. This I believe is where most mortgage stress lay. People who are trapped and cannot restructure for a better deal.

It would be nice to see an Australian owned mortgage insurer so Australians can invest in their own future and the profits generated STAY IN AUSTRALIA!!! or maybe I’m just delusional

Apostille May 12, 2009

Your article on this topic is very good.

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